2010's elections are something a little bit special. The media storm(and associated technology) is bigger, better and faster at bringing news and opinions to potential voters than ever before, and in ever more formats. Newspapers, pamphlets, magazines, radio, television, blogs, websites and new formats such as live feeds, microblogging(twitter) and social networking sites (facebook) as well as the traditional word of mouth all come into play to push politics to the top of the agenda and down our throats! Not that I'm complaining too much, it is only for one month and it should be an exciting one at that. The most exciting thing about it? Firstly, by how much some people are getting all excited about it, and Secondly, the live televised debates. These threaten to turn the election into even more of a personality contest than it already is, but allow us a laugh at the largest political parties and a bigger insight into their policies and personalities than we'd otherwise gain without partialising ourselves and turning up at party rallies.
Speaking of policies, you should have a gander at this website and see which party's policies are the ones that you represent, I was suprised and especially so by the pool results so far! : www.voteforpolicies.org.uk
As far as predicting the election outcome however, I'd like to believe that the Conservatives, Labour and the Liberal Democrats had a chance at winning, despite the constant Tory outcry of it being a 2 party race and as a result have sparked something in the souls of some British people who have started a facebook group backing the Lib Dems as the underdogs *cue Rocky Theme tune*. As far as the facebook evangelical party elite is concerned though we see:
Conservatives: 39,888 fans (This rather large number in comparison to the other parties can be at least in part attributed to other conservative parties e.g. in the US)
Labour: 18,638 fans
LibDems: 16,828 fans
and disturbingly... BNP: 12,396 fans
Of course most voters aren't going to join a party's page as most of them are not part of a party and many of their views won't be upheld by a single party alone and many will be troubled over whether they should vote locally or nationally.Though the more supporters one has, the more potential supporters they can win over. It will be interesting to see how these numbers change through the campaigns.
I'm not sure how easily it can be predicted but I believe the televised debates will be particularly important in swaying some voters. My personal favourite prediction method for the prime porker however has to be this-> Snorters
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